Statistics and Forecasts - Strategy 4 Growth

Statistics and Forecasts

Statistics – Cisco have released the following stats and thoughts in their paper The Zettabyte Era—Trends and Analysis (May-15):

• Global IP traffic has increased fivefold over the past five years, and will increase threefold over the next five years. Overall, IP traffic will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23 percent from 2014 to 2019. By 2016, global IP traffic will reach 1.1 zettabytes per year, or 88.4 exabytes (nearly one billion gigabytes) per month. By 2019, global IP traffic will reach 2.0 zettabytes per year.
• Two-thirds of all IP traffic will originate with non-PC devices by 2019. In 2014, only 40 percent of total IP traffic originated with non-PC devices, but by 2019 the non-PC share of total IP traffic will grow to 67 percent. PC-originated traffic will grow at a CAGR of 9 percent, and TVs, tablets, smartphones, and machine-to-machine (M2M) modules will have traffic growth rates of 17 percent, 65 percent, 62 percent, and 71 percent respectively.
• Traffic from wireless and mobile devices will exceed traffic from wired devices by 2016. By 2016, wired devices will account for 47 percent of IP traffic, and Wi-Fi and mobile devices will account for 53 percent of IP traffic. In 2014, wired devices accounted for the majority of IP traffic, at 54 percent.
• Global Internet traffic in 2019 will be equivalent to 66 times the volume of the entire global Internet in 2005. Globally, Internet traffic will reach 37 gigabytes (GB) per capita by 2019, up from 15.5 GB per capita in 2014.
• The number of devices connected to IP networks will be more than three times the global population by 2019.
• Broadband speeds will more than double by 2019. By 2019, global fixed broadband speeds will reach 42.5 Mbps, up from 20.3 Mbps in 2014.
• Total Internet traffic has experienced dramatic growth in the past two decades. More than 20 years ago, in 1992, global Internet networks carried approximately 100 GB of traffic per day. Ten years later, in 2002, global Internet traffic amounted to 100 gigabytes per second (GBps). In 2014, global Internet traffic reached 16,144 GBps. The table provides a view of the historical benchmarks for total Internet traffic.
The Cisco VNI Forecast—Historical Internet Context

Year Global Internet Traffic
1992 100 GB per day
1997 100 GB per hour
2002 100 GBps
2007 2000 GBps
2014 16,144 GBps
2019 51,794GBps

Source: Cisco VNI, 2015

  • Global Devices and Connections Growth


Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2014–2019

  • Global Business Services

Between 2013 and 2014, the highest YoY growth was in business load balancing services (LBS), with a 41 percent increase: from 68 million users in 2013 to 95 million in 2014. Other significant YoY growth was in desktop videoconferencing (30 percent).

Global Business Services Adoption and Growth


Source: Cisco VNI Service Adoption Forecast, 2014–2019

  • Global IP Traffic by Application Category


Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2014–2019

Gartner – CIOs are not prepared for the data-driven economy and must revise their approach according to Gartner IT leaders and change focus from technology to business outcomes. Organisations need a chief data officer to managed information assets appropriately and rather than focusing on internal data business need to provide access to cloud based assets as well, since that 50% of business data now resides in the cloud.

According to Gartner CIOs need to embrace the democratisation of data from a compliance point of view, arguing that only 5% of data needs to centrally governed and controlled with 95% devolved to business users

Source –Gartner 2015